The consequences of Trump's shocking decision
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Unexpected consequences for the US after Mr. Trump's shocking decision

Many analysts believe that President Donald Trump's sudden announcement of withdrawal, leaving the Kurdish allies in northern Syria a blow to the US reputation.

The most concise summary of US President Donald Trump's foreign policy comes from himself. Referring to the turmoil he caused in Syria, the White House leader wrote on Twitter: “I hope they all do well. We are 7,000 miles away (more than 11,265km). ”

According to observers, President Trump seems to envision that he can abandon his allies in a dangerous area without causing serious consequences for the United States. But he was wrong. The betrayal of the Kurds will make both friends and enemies suspect the United States under his rule. That's what both Americans and the world need to complain about.

Trump's decision to withdraw all 1,000 U.S. troops quickly destroyed the fragile ceasefire in northern Syria. The move provided an opportunity for a Turkish offensive against the Kurds, resulting in hundreds of deaths to date. At least 160,000 people have been displaced from their homes.

Supporters of the self-proclaimed Islamic State (IS) terrorist group, once captured by Kurdish forces, have escaped from the detention centers. When there was nowhere else to return, the Kurds sought help from the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Washington's enemy.

Mr. Trump campaigned on his pledge to bring American soldiers home. He argued that the United States must free itself from "endless wars". When he said Russia, Iran and Turkey could deal with the turmoil in Syria, many voters who voted for him would agree.

After nearly two decades of war, they were tired of the US playing the "world police". Some Democratic politicians, including Elizabeth Warren, the leading candidate who can replace Mr. Trump as White House leader, also want to withdraw American soldiers from the Middle East.

No matter how much the frustration can be understood, a thoughtless abandonment of the Middle East is considered a failure. It undermines America's reputation around the world, meaning that Washington will have to work harder and spend more on solving the essential problems of prosperity and the lives of its people the way it wants.

Mr. Trump's decision to withdraw from Syria is like failing the confidence test on many levels. One of these is very serious. President Trump seems to ignore the briefing reports that warn about the catastrophic consequences of the power vacuum caused by the withdrawal.

The suddenness of the decision surprised most people, including officials in the Trump administration. The Kurds were startled. British soldiers woke up to find that American friends were packing up their belongings. No one has time to prepare.

The decision is also a betrayal of loyalty. The Kurdish armed forces in Syria have stood side by side with special forces units and the US Air Force to fight terrorism. About 11,000 Kurdish fighters have died. 5 Americans also died in these activities.

The world's leading power has combined its ability to gather unrivaled intelligence with a local ally to drive the world's worst terrorists, with loss of life and of at least be.

More seriously, Mr. Trump's unexpected decision has ruined the US diplomatic strategy, not only because of the threat of the revival of ISIS, but also because Iran, America's archenemy, will benefit. from the US withdrawal. Russian President Vladimir Putin once admitted that US patronage was a guarantee of order in the Middle East, a role the Soviet Union had assumed before the 1970s.

Withdrew from Syria a small number of troops, which suffered a few casualties, the United States accidentally created a new cross-border conflict, empowering enemies and betraying friends.

According to The Economist, impulsiveness has become a prominent feature of President Trump's foreign policy.

He abandoned treaties that his predecessors had struggled to negotiate, sparked a trade war in a fuss, and in places like Venezuela or North Korea, promises seemed to be changing. Never give results.

Mr. Trump often makes temporary decisions, based on whims of ideas that don't come to mind, or devise a coherent strategy to control them.

President Trump seems to think he can use America's enormous trade influence as an alternative to "hard power". Economic sanctions have become his answer to every issue, including Turkey's push against the Kurds in northern Syria.

However, analysts point out that when vital interests are threatened, nations seem to seldom submit. Turkey is determined to fight to remove the militants it considers to be terrorists from a safe zone that it wants to establish on the Syrian border.

As China's economy grows, US sanctions may also become useless. Even today, despite the United States forcing to sever ties with Huawei, many countries are still unwilling to "ban the door" of China's leading telecommunications group.

The Syrian incident shows how all of the above can harm the United States. In Europe, even before the launch of the Spring Peace campaign in its neighboring country, Turkey had collapsed with NATO over the acquisition of Russian air defense missiles.

As the campaign exposes Ankara to sanctions and arms embargoes, cracks within NATO will only be increasingly deepened. Against this backdrop, Moscow could challenge US commitments to protect the Baltic states, the tiny NATO allies that border Russia.

In Asia, the Taliban terrorist network can redouble their efforts because of news that, when the Trump administration has abandoned the Kurds, they are also likely to abandon Afghanistan.

Throughout the world, US allies will have more reasons to arm themselves, increasing the risk of rekindling armed races in the region. Could South Korea or Saudi Arabia, fearing being marginalized, be dragged into acquiring nuclear weapons to defend itself against North Korea or Iran?

All of these concerns shed light on the order that the United States has worked to build and maintain for decades since World War II and the benefits it has enjoyed since then. If withdrawing troops from Syria, the Trump administration will still have to invest in weapons and soldiers to protect its people and companies, while not having much support from allies.

More importantly, the lack of trust, once established, will have a negative impact on military matters. Other countries will be less interested in long-term trade deals with the US. They may be reluctant to engage in industrial espionage or break Chinese rules, which are damaging to the United States.

In particular, the United States will undermine the values ​​they are pursuing. If America's rivals get what they want, hegemony will take over, a scenario the West has always considered the worst.

Tuấn Anh

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