Ghassan Kadi, a Syrian-born Middle East political analyst, recently released comments on the change in the US President Joe Biden’s policy for the situation in the Middle East, especially in Syria.
|The US will bring troops back to Syria, forced to negotiate with Russia-Turkey?|
Accordingly, once Mr. Biden wants to reverse the policy of his predecessor Donald Trump and bring more troops to the Middle East, he must negotiate with Russia and Turkey.
There is not much room left for Washington’s maneuvering in the region, Kadi added. When it comes to the governments of Syria, Russia, Iran, Turkey and the US alliance, he said:
“As for the military forces involved, in my opinion, there is no doubt that Damascus and Russia have the upper hand now and in the foreseeable future.”
Indeed, the new administration’s official foreign policy agenda is not expected to withdraw US troops anytime soon.
Which mentions a series of opinions: “Encourage standing with civil society and pro-democracy partners in the field”; “Ensure America is leading the global coalition to defeat IS and use whatever leverage it has in the region to help shape a political settlement that gives voices to more Syrians”; “To promote all parties to pursue political solutions” as well as “encourage the United States to take the lead in humanitarian matters”.
In particular, right before the inauguration of Mr. Biden on January 20, a US military convoy of about 60 vehicles including trucks full of weapons poured into Hasakah province from the Iraqi side, Syria Times reported, citing locality in the town of Al-Swedeyeh.
Most recently, the new US administration decided to increase its military presence in Syria, despite previous claims that the country was ready to leave the territory of the Middle Eastern country.
According to the source, about 500 US military personnel have been deployed, and according to some sources, this number is far from the final number – in the near future, there may be up to 2,000 US servicemen dispatched. Syria.
The reason for the US move to Syria is not known, but it is likely that Washington intends to return to northern Syria after many unsuccessful attempts last year.
No matter how Biden wants to change policy in Syria, it is not a decrease in military forces in this Middle Eastern country, according to Kadi.
He said that if the issue of US troops in Syria is deployed, many believe that Washington will have to re-dialogue with Russia and Turkey to carry out the move.
Moscow’s five-year operations in Syria, as well as partnerships with Ankara and Tehran, he believes, have dramatically altered the status quo of the region since the beginning of the 10-year war.
Mr. Kadi said that the new administration in the US will have good talks with Russia and Turkey, and at the same time resolve the split situation in US-Turkey relations related to Ankara’s purchase of the Russian air defense system. S-400.
“America’s softer stance towards Turkey means the United States must support President Erdogan against the Kurds. Remember, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told Trump and Obama: Gentlemen. have to choose from my side or the Kurdish side, “said Kadi.
In this scenario, Ankara also expects Washington to send a healing message about the removal of sanctions on them regarding Russia’s S-400 deal, bringing Turkey back to Lockheed’s F-35 program. Martin.
However, before that, former senior administration official of former US President Barack Obama Anthony Blinken – who was recently appointed Secretary of State, told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on January 19 that the Cabinet the upcoming restrictions on Turkey will be maintained and sanctions will not be ruled out in the future.
At the same time, it is unlikely that the Biden administration will abandon support from the Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) as Mr Blinken has long been a strong proponent of arming the militia. Kurdish people.
Furthermore, at CNBC, there are other signs that US-Turkish tensions could escalate further under the new US administration.
The news agency reiterated that in a January 2020 interview with The New York Times, Mr. Biden called President Erdogan an “autocrat” and suggested that the United States could support Turkish opposition leaders. Ky “can confront and defeat Erdogan”.
This comment was later accused by Turkey of Mr Biden as an “interventionist”.