If Bei Piao doesn't go home, can I rent a house decently?

If Bei Piao doesn’t go home, can I rent a house decently?

#Bei #Piao #doesnt #home #rent #house #decently

A few days ago, Le Luo changed to a new roommate, and unexpectedly discovered that the price of the shared house had dropped.

Le Luo rented a three-bedroom and one-living house near Baishiqiao South Subway, Haidian. When the last roommate who lived in the master bedroom next door rented a house, the rent was 5,600 yuan a month, while the rent of the new roommate who moved in recently was 5,230 yuan a month, a full drop of 300 yuan a month.

The price of the house fell beyond her expectations.

The community is close to Zhongguancun, Weigong Village, Haidian Huangzhuang and other densely populated areas within 5 kilometers. From the perspective of location, there is no need to rent out.

Before that, Le Luo had been a little skeptical about the decline in Beijing’s rent, because she changed and renewed her rent during the year. When she hadn’t dropped in the process of renting, she even increased a little.

Therefore, she deliberately asked the free housekeeper of the source of the house. The housekeeper said that the price of nearby houses has not fluctuated greatly recently, but some houses that have been vacant for a long time will have their prices lowered.

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But this year as a whole, rents in Beijing have indeed fallen.

According to the recent Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center released the “Report on the National Average Rent of Large and Medium Cities in January 2021”. Data show that in January 2021, Beijing’s rent levels fell 1.18% month-on-month.

Data from the Shell Research Institute also shows that in 2020, Beijing’s rents have experienced a year-on-year decline of 3.4% for the first time since 2012. If you look at it on a monthly basis, Beijing’s rent levels have fallen year-on-year for 17 consecutive months.

For tenants in Beijing, housing price reductions are a rare occurrence. The last time housing rents fell in general was during the 2008 financial crisis. As a first-tier city in Beijing, rents have fallen, which has eased a lot of pressure on the lives of workers in Beijing.

A month ago, a friend of Le Luo’s Xiao Ma changed his house. Near Guangxi Gate in Beijing, he came across a house that I love my house. The master bedroom is 15 square meters with independent balcony. According to Xiao Ma, the original price of this house I love my house was 3200 yuan per month, but I never found a tenant. Later, it fell to 2900 yuan per month. In the end, Xiao Ma rented it for 2600 yuan per month.

I love that my agent told Xiao Ma that the price of renting a house this year is much cheaper than in previous years, which is the lowest stage in recent years. But after the epidemic, the rent will rise again.

From the perspective of the lessor, the house has been vacant for a long time, and it is even more at a loss than the price reduction. If a rental price is 5,000 yuan per month, the annual income is 60,000, and if it is vacant for 1 month or 2 months, the income is 5.5 If the price is reduced by 300 yuan every month, the annual income is still more than 56,000 yuan.

Liu Min, the landlord who lives in Fengtai, currently has a house for rent. She most hopes to find a tenant to rent for a few more years and sign a contract for a few years at a time. First, it can be stable, there is no need to worry about finding tenants all the time, and the house has no vacancy period. Second, Liu Min’s house has been vacant for more than a month and has not been rented out, and it has caught up with the off-season renting during the Spring Festival. He is a little worried about losing more.

As rents fall, some are happy and some are worried.

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According to the leasing data of I love my home in Beijing, in 2020, the rent per square meter in Beijing will drop by more than 5%. If calculated on the basis of the entire house rent, the year-on-year decline will expand to 7.7%. Before 2020, the whole rent in Beijing will continue to increase.

The sharp increase in rents in Beijing began in November 2017. On November 18, 2017, a fire broke out in Xihongmen Town, Daxing. Subsequently, the Beijing Municipal Work Safety Commission issued the “Notice on Carrying out Special Actions for Large-scale Investigation, Clean-up, and Remediation of Potential Safety Hazards”, which clearly pointed out that with the urban-rural fringe area as the core, the inspection and remediation of rental apartments, rental courtyards, group rental houses, etc.

In just one week, the Xihongmen inspection team in Daxing District cleared more than 1,000 rental apartments, sealing up nearly 65,000 square meters.

Affected by the relationship between supply and demand, the number of rental houses has decreased and rents have naturally risen. That month, the listings of Lianjia and I love my family in Daxing were robbed instantly, and the rent rose by more than 30%.

Two years later, starting in 2020, due to the impact of various factors such as the epidemic situation and the decline in the number of foreign populations, Beijing’s rent prices have begun to “fall and fall.”

Why is Beijing’s rent drop so obvious? In addition to being related to the 2020 epidemic, the decline in rents is closely related to the decline in people.

In recent years, Beijing has made great efforts to depopulate the population. Relevant data show that the permanent population of Beijing has continued to decline since 2017, and has decreased by 22,000, 165,000, and 6,000 respectively in three years.

Bei Piao is no longer the first choice for graduates, and the rate of Beijing graduates staying in Beijing is also declining.

According to data sorted by the media, only 16.07% of Peking University’s undergraduate graduates chose to stay in Beijing in 2019, while 71.79% of the graduates stayed in Beijing in 2013. The overall data of Tsinghua University graduates staying in Beijing also shows a downward trend. In 2013, the rate of Tsinghua undergraduates staying in Beijing was 30.7%. By 2020, it has dropped by nearly 10%, and 21.9% of graduates stay in Beijing.

However, Beijing’s net population inflow is a medium- and long-term policy, and the price of rent in Beijing will not fall to the point where everyone is satisfied.

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In fact, after several rounds of increases for several years, Beijing’s rent levels are no longer low.

Search for recent listings in Beijing’s 4th Ring Road on the Ziru app. Take the popular listings near Xitucheng and Zhichun Road as examples. The second bedroom with only one bed, one table and one cabinet under 10 square meters is basically 3000-3500 yuan. Every month or so. If according to the income and expenditure ratio of 25%, it is reasonable to rent a house at this price if the personal income is between 13,000 and 15,000 per month.

j screenshots from the shell to find a room

Looking at the more remote areas near Huoying on the North Fifth Ring Road, the rent is slightly cheaper. It can be seen that the area can rent a bedroom of more than 10 square meters per month for more than 2,000 yuan. If it is more than 3,000 yuan, you can rent a house with a master bedroom of more than 20 square meters.

From this point, it can be understood why many people have rented a house and moved farther and farther, and finally moved to a village in the city outside the Fifth Ring Road. If you want to maintain the rent expenditure without much change, you can only change the rented place.

Screenshot from Shell Finding a Room

Although the average rent per square meter in Beijing will fall by more than 5% in 2020, it is still beyond the range of many people’s ability to pay.

Under normal circumstances, rent expenditures are reasonable within 25% of personal total income, and within a tolerable range of 25%-30%. Once more than 30%, it indicates excessive rent pressure.

According to an online survey, nearly 30% of netizens have a rent-to-income ratio of more than 35%. Nearly half of newly employed college graduates account for more than 25% of their income. This is in first-tier cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. Up to 40%.

In terms of income level, according to BOSS’s direct employment, the “Q4 Talent Attraction Report for 2020” was released. In 2020, the average salary of white-collar workers in the top 50 cities for talent demand in Q4 in 2020 was 8,210 yuan, and Beijing topped the list with an average monthly salary of 13,138 yuan.

Of course, there must be a large number of Beidiao with an average monthly salary of less than 13,138 yuan. From this average, can the monthly salary of 13,138 yuan be able to rent a house in Beijing? It depends on what kind of house is considered decent.

It is close to the subway, close to the business district, independent balcony, independent bathroom…In the opinion of the editor, at least 5,000 yuan can be used to rent a house decently in Beijing.

Judging from the monthly salary level and the ratio of renting expenditure, it is not enough to support a decent renting a house in Beijing.

But no matter what, the rent has dropped more or less, which is a good thing for the workers who rent in Beijing.

This year, the country advocates celebrating the New Year in situ. Many tenants who rent before or after the Spring Festival can continue to rent at the original price or renew the rent at a reduced price. There is no need to move around because of the rent increase, and spend a good year at ease.

(Names appearing in the text are all aliases)

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