Analysis: Who was really behind the military coup event in Myanmar?

Analysis: Who was really behind the military coup event in Myanmar?


On February 1, Myanmar happened a military coup, Myanmar State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi, President Win Myint and other high-ranking officials of the political party of the National Union for Democracy were arrested by the military. Hold. After that, the Myanmar army declared military control of Myanmar for 1 year. The Myanmar military said that Myanmar’s National Coalition for Democracy, led by Aung San Suu Kyi, cheated in the federal parliamentary elections last November, thereby launching a coup to arrest people. The main political object of this consulate. However, one scholar pointed out, the Myanmar army was hired by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), because Aung San Suu Kyi had placed obstacles to prevent the CCP in Malacca, so the CCP took advantage of the Myanmar army. launched a coup.

Bangkok, Thailand January 2, 2021. Supporters of the National Coalition Party for Democracy in Bangkok protested outside the Myanmar Embassy against the military coup. (Photo: kan Sangtong / Shutterstock).

According to Myanmar media, on January 28, the Myanmar Federal Election Commission denied the military’s allegations of fraud in the general election last year, this allegation is likely to lead to the the army launched a coup.

Before that, the military had reported to “take action”, Does not rule out the option of launching a coup. After the coup occurred, the army conducted a curfew in the capital Naypyidaw and the city of Yangon, a large number of soldiers patrolling the streets. In addition, electricity and internet in some places were disconnected.

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According to Nikkei Asian Review, a member of the House of Representatives of the National Coalition for Democracy Party told the newspaper by phone that Aung San Suu Kyi was arrested by the military, detained at home, the President Win Myint was also confined at home.

According to Reuter, on Feb. 2, a high-ranking official from the National Coalition for Democracy said that Aung San Suu Kyi was not removed from the detention site.

Currently, the Myanmar army has not published the exact location of Aung San Suu Kyi’s detention.

Not only were the leaders of Myanmar’s National Coalition Party for Democracy arrested, but also many ethnic minority party leaders and student leaders were also arrested within a few hours. This proves that the military coup has long been planned.

In November 2015, for the first time in more than 25 years, more than 30 million voters across Myanmar voted for the first time in a truly meaningful free election. In the end, the leader of the National Coalition Party for Democracy Aung San Suu Kyi won the victory, the man in real control of the military-born Myanmar government, Mr. Thein Sein, had stable transfer of power to The Government of Aung San Suu Kyi.

In order to ensure that the Myanmar Government is no longer under the control of the military consortium, after his release, Mr. Thein Sein took the lead as an example, moved to the town of Pyin U Lwin in central Myanmar and got down his hair to practice. political arena.

According to Phung Sung Nghia, China expert, professor at the Technical University of Sydney, the Myanmar army used to always use a puppet party to dominate Myanmar. However, the Myanmar army was unhappy with the ruling party of Aung San Suu Kyi.

The US government has made great efforts in Myanmar’s democratic process. In November 2012, the current president of the United States, Mr. Obama, made a state visit to Myanmar. In 2015, after the transition of Myanmar’s democratic government, US and Myanmar relations were tightened, then the US gradually loosened sanctions and provided more aid to Myanmar.

After Myanmar implemented a democracy, it entered the ranks of normal countries, exchanges with countries around the world also increased more and more, but China and Myanmar relations slipped. Myanmar has always been hostile towards Chinese investment flows, Chinese projects in Myanmar have caused many protests due to environmental problems. Only for the construction of the Myitsone Hydropower Dam invested by China, the people of Myanmar have protested continuously for 10 years. Although the exchange between the two countries has never been interrupted, the relationship has regressed at a time due to many reasons such as political and ideological factors.

It is very obvious that this military coup in Myanmar was indispensable for Beijing’s involvement. Since the CCP promoted policy “One belt one road“, Myanmar is a country receiving the benefits, so much aid from Beijing, the attitude towards the CCP of Ms. Aung San Suu Kyi’s government has also become more ambiguous.” However, the CCP has yet to gain absolute advantage in the Myanmar government controlled by Aung San Suu Kyi, especially many projects with clear military purposes, progressing slowly. This was also one of the reasons that the CCP gradually became disappointed with the Aung San Suu Kyi government. As for the CCP government, they prefer to interact with people of the military government, because in the past, the two sides had a good mutual relationship; Moreover, Myanmar has been in a state of military division for a long time, and the forces in many parts of the war for a long time need to embrace the CCP’s feet to survive. The retreating Myanmar government is even more conducive to the CCP’s entry into Myanmar.

Election fraud is just an excuse?

News columnist Qua Bich Dong told Epoch Times that from his perspective on this incident, from start to finish was “The CCP is doing”, “more than a week before the event, the CCP Foreign Minister Wang Yi just arrived in Myanmar, and after he left Myanmar, this military coup occurred.”

On January 11, Mr. Vuong Nghi visited Myanmar, in addition to meeting President Win Myint and State Counselor and Foreign Minister Aung San Suu Kyi, there was also a meeting with the commander-in-chief of the Myanmar army, Mr. Min Aung Hlaing.

On 2/2, Myanmar Army Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing took over the Myanmar Government, said that the reason the army took over the Myanmar Government was due to the phenomenon of “fraud” in the November election last year, so army “Forced to take over power”; After reorganizing the election, the military government will pass power to the victors.

Mr. Qua Bich Dong said that the Myanmar army is not a righteous force, they will not care about how large-scale fraud takes place.

He said that although Aung San Suu Kyi is a relative of the Communist, also tends to be left-wing, but in the matter of the route through the Malacca Strait, Aung San Suu Kyi has maintained nationalism, and protecting the interests of the country, which is very painful for the CCP.

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In addition, the time when the Myanmar political situation was changed also made people think, the coup was at the right time the Biden administration took over power, the new US government had not finished handling many problems in the United States. . The Myanmar military government seemed to do something shady in the eyes of the United States.

The US has carried out sanctions against Myanmar since the 90s of the last century, the sanctions made the army suffer from speechless, so the army will not quickly recover from their wounds but forget the pain, the dare they risk. With action, with sure people behind it, the CCP is clearly the big prop behind the Myanmar army.

Mr. Qua Bich Dong said, “The Myanmar army is heavily infiltrated by the CCP, the commander of the Myanmar military government has a huge interest relationship with the CCP, and they fundamentally exchange interests with the CCP. In the Myanmar army there are many high-ranking officials trained in the CCP military school.

Mr. Qua Bich Dong said, this coup event, not a problem between the Myanmar army and Aung San Suu Kyi, but that the CCP took advantage of their mercenary card (the Burmese are mercenaries of The CCP) to attack Aung San Suu Kyi, “The CCP is really the black hand behind.”

“We can see very quickly that within a year, the military will coordinate so that the CCP ‘one belt, one road’ projects can be carried out smoothly in Myanmar.”Mr. Qua Bich Dong said. “Myanmar’s military itself is not a very honest organization, but in 2005 they ceded the throne to the parliamentary system in a relatively peaceful way, how did they suddenly change again? Actually, it is the CCP behind it. ”

As can be seen, the CCP’s encouragement of the Myanmar army’s coup, seems to be a business “Trade one profit ten”.

First, the CCP’s military coup in Myanmar is a problem for the US, and at the same time, it is also probing the Biden administration’s response speed and limits. Mr. Biden has always considered himself a democratic warrior, the spark of Myanmar, at the right time to try a little bit of America to Southeast Asia is soothing or tough, the level of events in Myanmar is both very suitable for the CCP work “Stoned to find the way“. The CCP of course knows that paper cannot wrap fire, so during the coup in Myanmar, the CCP sent Mr. Duong Khiet Tri to call on the US that Sino-US cooperation is what people are looking for, the trend of promoting and benefiting. The Sino-US interests are mixed and related to a high degree. The CCP hopes that the new US government will move the “rock that stands in the way” of gender exchanges between the two countries. With the black hands of the CCP reaching out, Mr. Biden’s administration could not help but resolve this burning issue in Myanmar, but had no way to directly expose the CCP.

Second, the CCP believes in geopolitics, claiming that by Koreanization of the countries around China, it can be achieved. “Long-term stability and peace” At the border, taking Myanmar to test the gun will not have too great a risk, even if it fails, it is easy to withdraw. Actually, the CCP’s military coup against Myanmar had been prepared a few months ago, the CCP said that in order to prevent epidemics, building a border wall between Yunnan and Myanmar, now seems to be just to prevent turbulent waves in Myanmar reached inland China.

Mr. Ngo Cuong, former lecturer of the Political Department of Tsinghua University, shared with Radio Free Asia that the ruling Myanmar army would benefit Beijing even more. He said that if Myanmar continues to move towards democracy, the more politically inclined towards America, this is something the CCP does not want to see. This is also a very important reason that we believe that the CCP is behind to support the Myanmar army’s coup.

The most pitiful are the Myanmar people, they are too far from America and too close to the CCP. The wickedness of the CCP is that while making a move with the United States, at the same time having to draw others to blame, it is very regrettable that Myanmar, only a few years of democratization, was dragged down into the abyss by the CCP.

Tri Dat

See more:

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  • Myanmar and Russia set an early test for Biden’s foreign policy

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